As we move into the fourth quarter, we see glimmers of hope despite the coronavirus still impacting lives and the economy. The unemployment rate has fallen from 8.4 percent to 7.9 percent. The economy is showing signs of recovery. A sign of this recovery is the ISM Manufacturing index. This index measures purchasing managers' behavior to find out data about the production, shipment levels, and inventories. Based on that data, it creates a monthly numerical rating. A rating of 50 or above shows economic growth. The ISM has been above 50 since June of this year. Dr. Sime Curkovic, professor of management at Western Michigan University's Hawthorne School of Business, said that if this trend continues, the American economy could recover fully in the third quarter of 2021.